Media Appearances

Trump-Vance Productivity Boom Threatened by Trump, Vance

Don Luskin at Trend Macrolytics points out that the combination of fewer federal workers and President Donald Trump’s enforcement of immigration law means that the total number of hours worked in the U.S. has actually been declining lately. Mr. Luskin writes in…

A New Era for the Federal Reserve

Mr. Warsh has written about a new version of the 1951 Treasury-Fed Accord that left fiscal policy to the Treasury while letting the central bank focus on monetary matters. Don Luskin nearby offers one way the two institutions could collaborate in…

The Unending Trump Tariff Mess

The larger reality is that Mr. Trump is so bull-headed about tariffs that he’s going to re-impose them any way he can. Along with Section 122, he’ll fire up more Section 201, 301 and 232 (national security) studies and tariffs.…

SCOTUS on Tariffs

Don’t miss this critical conversation. Join our expert panel as we unpack the latest US Supreme Court decision on tariffs. We’ll go beyond the headlines to examine what it means for economic growth, inflation, geopolitics and, most importantly, possible investment…

Another Nice Surprise for the U.S. Economy

Trend Macrolytics responds to the news in a note to clients that emphasizes the value of businesses investing in capital expenditures, known as capex: New orders for non-defense capital goods (ex-aircraft) makes a new all-time high. Orders are the precursor…

Trump Tries Forceful Persuasion

Don Luskin and Michael Warren at Trend Macrolytics write in a note to clients: "It will take a lot to rehabilitate Venezuela’s depreciated oil infrastructure, but in the meantime, diverting its heavy crude exports to the US would severely disrupt…

Donald Luskin on the Journal Editorial Report with Paul Gigot

A new productivity supercycle began in the pandemic during Q2-2020, and will continue in 2026 and likely for another twenty years. AI is already being adopted by businesses large and small, because its human interface is simple enough for anyone…

Luskin: Miran’s Fed Appointment ‘Very, Very Dangerous’ for Markets

Donald Luskin says a potential Stephen Miran-led Federal Reserve would be "very, very dangerous" for markets, citing Miran's reportedly radical views on devaluing the U.S. dollar. Luskin also weighs in on the jobs picture, attributing recent weak job numbers to…

Don Luskin on the Journal Editorial Report with Paul Gigot

Trump’s latest threat to fire Powell is just another trick to get your attention, with the Supreme Court having virtually said he can’t do it. Powell is only one vote anyway. Warsh has thrown his hat in the ring to…

Don Luskin on the Journal Editorial Report with Paul Gigot

TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin argues that the oil market has been generously pre-supplied by OPEC, as though they anticipated the conflict between Israel and Iran. He dimisses the US/China trade "deal" as no deal at all, only a climb-down from…

Signs of a Weaker Labor Market

…Our friend Don Luskin of Trend Macro notes another concern, which is two months in a row of shrinking foreign-born employment. Leaving aside the legal and other problems with Joe Biden’s border failures, there’s no doubt that immigrant labor buoyed the…

Luskin: Mag 7 is Disproportionately Dragging Down Market

Don Luskin notes that if you strip out the Mag 7 from the S&P 500, “the S&P 493 remains unchanged!” He stresses, “Things aren’t as bad as they feel.” He thinks the Supreme Court could overturn Trump’s tariffs and says…

Tariffs Matter More Than Don Luskin Thinks

Donald Luskin argues that tariffs are “inherently small tax hikes because tariffs only apply to, at most, a base of $3.257 trillion—the total value of goods and services the U.S. imports annually” (“How Much Do Tariffs Matter?,” op-ed, Jan. 29). Yet…

Tariffs Are Tricky Variables

In “How Much Do Tariffs Matter?” (op-ed, Jan. 29), Donald Luskin claims that tariffs have little effect because he observes little change in inflation rates, gross-domestic-product growth and federal deficits after the introduction of President Trump’s tariffs in 2018. Yet these economic…

Stock Market Says America Will Be OK

Don Luskin of Trend Macrolytics writes in a note to clients today: "There have been highly volatile days as the presidential election landscape has chaotically emerged. But stocks have been in a less than 14% trading range despite what remains…

Sprott Debates #2 – David Rosenberg & Don Luskin

Will the Fed continue to cut? Is there still a possibility of a recession? What’s the trajectory for gold? To tackle these timely questions David Rosenberg and Don Luskin join Ed Coyne and John Hathaway for round two of our…

We’re in a correction: Donald Luskin

TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin discusses the sell-off as recession fears spark turmoil throughout the global markets.

Mass Deportation Would Be a Disaster

A low fertility rate means fewer young adults entering the workforce to replace retirees, leading to labor shortages—unless immigration makes up the difference. In a recent analysis published in these pages, TrendMacro CEO Donald Luskin estimated that foreign-born people represent 80% of…

Chris Farrell: Productivity growth has led to our economic growth

A "fireside chat" with Donald Luskin, founder of TrendMacro, at the recent CFA Society of Minnesota annual dinner reminded me of the importance of paying attention to productivity. (There was no fireplace but a colorful bouquet of flowers instead.) The…

Rate cuts are coming soon: Don Luskin

TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin analyzes the Federal Reserve's moves to regulate the economy on 'Making Money.'

US economy needs deflation now: Don Luskin

TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin explains how deflation can help fix the government's inflation problem on 'Making Money.'

US fiscal spending on the rise again

TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin provides insight on the Federal Reserve's moves on 'Making Money.'

Charles Payne: We saw the wheels of justice this week

FOX Business host Charles Payne and TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin weigh in on the Sam Bankman-Fried saga and term limits for officials on 'Making Money.'

Why is wage growth slowing?

TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin gives his take on businesses throwing in the towel on 'Making Money.'

Money Supply and Inflation

Inflation has everyone’s attention. In this podcast, economist and financial analyst Don Luskin explains to IPI’s Merrill Matthews why the rapid increase in the money supply caused the inflation. And the declining money supply means inflation is on its way…

Inflation Proves Stubborn in January

…the sharp decline in the money supply that began last year will lead to rapid disinflation in the coming months and perhaps a recession. Wall Street forecaster Ed Hyman of Evercore ISI and Don Luskin of Trend Macro are anticipating similar inflation declines and…

Gambling Is Not the Future

Regarding Donald Luskin’s op-ed “The Feds Don’t Want You Betting on Elections” (Nov. 2): Listed futures contracts must serve some commercial purpose, such as hedging grain or currencies. A futures contract for $2 on Backfire in the third race at…

Result of Poor Municipal Leadership

Mr. Luskin founded a company, Trend Macrolytics, after a long and distinguished career in the investment sector of the economy… Three years ago, Mr. Luskin relocated his business to Dallas from Chicago… As Luskin says you can see it in their eyes.…

It is a privilege to work: Donald Luskin

TrendMacro chief investment officer shreds President Joe Biden's comments on record-high inflation and weighs in on government programs on 'Making Money with Charles Payne.'

Is Inflation Going Away? with Don Luskin

Don Luskin, Chief Investment Officer of TrendMacro, explains why inflation is already in decline and is going to recede faster than most have expected. With IPI Resident Scholar Dr. Merrill Matthews and IPI President Tom Giovanetti.