Media Appearances
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin talks with Paul Gigot about the debut FOMC meeting for Fed chair Kevin Warsh.
Trump-Vance Productivity Boom Threatened by Trump, Vance
Don Luskin at Trend Macrolytics points out that the combination of fewer federal workers and President Donald Trump’s enforcement of immigration law means that the total number of hours worked in the U.S. has actually been declining lately. Mr. Luskin writes in…
A New Era for the Federal Reserve
Mr. Warsh has written about a new version of the 1951 Treasury-Fed Accord that left fiscal policy to the Treasury while letting the central bank focus on monetary matters. Don Luskin nearby offers one way the two institutions could collaborate in…
Don Luskin on the Wall Street Journal Editorial Report
Don Luskin talks with Paul Gigot about oil prices, closing the Straits of Hormuz, inflation and recession.
The Unending Trump Tariff Mess
The larger reality is that Mr. Trump is so bull-headed about tariffs that he’s going to re-impose them any way he can. Along with Section 122, he’ll fire up more Section 201, 301 and 232 (national security) studies and tariffs.…
SCOTUS on Tariffs
Don’t miss this critical conversation. Join our expert panel as we unpack the latest US Supreme Court decision on tariffs. We’ll go beyond the headlines to examine what it means for economic growth, inflation, geopolitics and, most importantly, possible investment…
Another Nice Surprise for the U.S. Economy
Trend Macrolytics responds to the news in a note to clients that emphasizes the value of businesses investing in capital expenditures, known as capex: New orders for non-defense capital goods (ex-aircraft) makes a new all-time high. Orders are the precursor…
Trump Tries Forceful Persuasion
Don Luskin and Michael Warren at Trend Macrolytics write in a note to clients: "It will take a lot to rehabilitate Venezuela’s depreciated oil infrastructure, but in the meantime, diverting its heavy crude exports to the US would severely disrupt…
Donald Luskin on the Journal Editorial Report with Paul Gigot
A new productivity supercycle began in the pandemic during Q2-2020, and will continue in 2026 and likely for another twenty years. AI is already being adopted by businesses large and small, because its human interface is simple enough for anyone…
Luskin: Tariffs Hurt Growth & Cause Recessions, Supreme Court Ruling Could Change Everything
Donald L. Luskin explains how the Supreme Court reversing tariffs could be a huge gift to the S&P 500 as refunds hit corporate balance sheets. However, he says the market mostly does not expect this to happen. He believes that…
Luskin: Miran’s Fed Appointment ‘Very, Very Dangerous’ for Markets
Donald Luskin says a potential Stephen Miran-led Federal Reserve would be "very, very dangerous" for markets, citing Miran's reportedly radical views on devaluing the U.S. dollar. Luskin also weighs in on the jobs picture, attributing recent weak job numbers to…
Don Luskin on the Journal Editorial Report with Paul Gigot
Trump’s latest threat to fire Powell is just another trick to get your attention, with the Supreme Court having virtually said he can’t do it. Powell is only one vote anyway. Warsh has thrown his hat in the ring to…
Don Luskin on the Journal Editorial Report with Paul Gigot
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin argues that the oil market has been generously pre-supplied by OPEC, as though they anticipated the conflict between Israel and Iran. He dimisses the US/China trade "deal" as no deal at all, only a climb-down from…
Signs of a Weaker Labor Market
…Our friend Don Luskin of Trend Macro notes another concern, which is two months in a row of shrinking foreign-born employment. Leaving aside the legal and other problems with Joe Biden’s border failures, there’s no doubt that immigrant labor buoyed the…
Luskin: Mag 7 is Disproportionately Dragging Down Market
Don Luskin notes that if you strip out the Mag 7 from the S&P 500, “the S&P 493 remains unchanged!” He stresses, “Things aren’t as bad as they feel.” He thinks the Supreme Court could overturn Trump’s tariffs and says…
Tariffs Matter More Than Don Luskin Thinks
Donald Luskin argues that tariffs are “inherently small tax hikes because tariffs only apply to, at most, a base of $3.257 trillion—the total value of goods and services the U.S. imports annually” (“How Much Do Tariffs Matter?,” op-ed, Jan. 29). Yet…
Tariffs Are Tricky Variables
In “How Much Do Tariffs Matter?” (op-ed, Jan. 29), Donald Luskin claims that tariffs have little effect because he observes little change in inflation rates, gross-domestic-product growth and federal deficits after the introduction of President Trump’s tariffs in 2018. Yet these economic…
Trump is proving to be ‘so powerful’ in the market: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer reacts positively to President Donald Trump's impact on monetary policy and the financial sector.
World leaders that attack Musk for free speech are ‘proving his point,’ says TrendMacro CIO
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin discusses how world leaders are pushing back on Elon Musk after he referred to some as ‘tyrannical’ on ‘The Evening Edit.’
Expert lauds DOGE’s plan for bank regulators: ‘We need these people to go away’
Trendmacro CIO Don Luskin weighs in on DOGE's calls to cut back on bank regulators, the economic impact of mass deportations and housing affordability.
The Democratic Party has caused an ‘affordability crisis’ and ‘set the world on fire’
TrendMacro CIO Don Luskin discusses higher prices that American families are facing with President-elect Trump set to enter office on 'The Evening Edit.'
Jamie Dimon warns Biden and Harris’ growing bureaucracy will hurt US economy
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin offers his analysis after Jamie Dimon's criticism of the economy under Biden-Harris on 'The Evening Edit.'
Energy costs go ‘way beyond inflation’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin discusses the economic struggles hitting various industries under the Biden-Harris administration on 'The Evening Edit.'
Stock Market Says America Will Be OK
Don Luskin of Trend Macrolytics writes in a note to clients today: "There have been highly volatile days as the presidential election landscape has chaotically emerged. But stocks have been in a less than 14% trading range despite what remains…
Sprott Debates #2 – David Rosenberg & Don Luskin
Will the Fed continue to cut? Is there still a possibility of a recession? What’s the trajectory for gold? To tackle these timely questions David Rosenberg and Don Luskin join Ed Coyne and John Hathaway for round two of our…
We lost prosperity, rising income and low inflation when Biden and Harris came into office: Don Luskin
Don Luskin, the chief investment officer of TrendMacro, reacts to the CBS News Vice Presidential Debate on 'The Evening Edit.'
Don Luskin: This is a victory for the economy, but not for Powell
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin says Fed Chair Powell is the most wrong Fed chairman in 'history' on 'Making Money.'
This tax is a ‘nuclear torpedo’ on the ‘most productive’ Americans: Don Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin reacts to former President Trump debuting another new tax break proposal and other taxes that are hurting Americans on 'The Evening Edit.'
Democrats’ rate cut hypocrisy would be breathtaking if it weren’t so typical: Don Luskin
TrendMacro CEO Don Luskin reacts to Elizabeth Warren's push for bigger Fed rate cuts before the election on 'The Big Money Show.'
Fed is like Kamala Harris, they ‘hang on’ to the latest poll: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Donald Luskin joins ‘Mornings with Maria’ to provide analysis of revised labor market data.
“We’re Growing Amazingly Well:” the Argument Against Rate Cuts
TrendMacro CIO Don Luskin believes the Fed may not cut as much as other experts expect. As Don discusses with Oliver Renick, he points to job and inflation trends, and talks about why the markets may be "obsessed with rate…
Kamala Harris’ agenda is ‘higher taxes’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin discusses inflation from Biden-Harris economic policies on 'The Evening Edit.'
No one is ‘listening’ when they make number revisions: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin discusses the economic ideas that Vice President Kamala Harris is campaigning on and the myriad of revisions on job report numbers on ‘The Evening Edit.’
‘Preposterous rhetoric’: Donald Luskin blasts Biden-Harris blaming ‘corporate greed’ for inflation
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin reacts to Vice President Kamala Harris' economic plan on 'The Evening Edit.'
We’re in a correction: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin discusses the sell-off as recession fears spark turmoil throughout the global markets.
Trump presidency will not create a ‘fiscal blowout’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin provides his market outlook heading into the 2024 election on 'Morning with Maria.'
US economy is not facing ‘economic Armageddon’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin argues concerns over America's debt and inflation are being blown out of proportion on 'Making Money.'
Mass Deportation Would Be a Disaster
A low fertility rate means fewer young adults entering the workforce to replace retirees, leading to labor shortages—unless immigration makes up the difference. In a recent analysis published in these pages, TrendMacro CEO Donald Luskin estimated that foreign-born people represent 80% of…
Biden tariffs on Chinese EVs is ‘outright protectionism’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin reacts to Biden saying he will quadruple the tariff on Chinese electric vehicles on 'Making Money.'
Foreign-born workers play a big role in jobs growth: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin discusses the impact of immigration on the labor market on 'Making Money.'
Latest round of Middle East turmoil is ‘another page in the same script’: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin discusses the market response to turmoil in the Middle East and comments on the overall state of the U.S. economy.
Sprott Debates #1 – Don Luskin & Luke Gromen
In a departure from our regular interviews, Sprott’s John Hathaway is joined be Luke Gromen and Don Luskin for a lively debate on the economy.
US economy is not sick, it doesn’t need Fed rate cuts: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin discusses whether inflation or affordability is the bigger issue for consumers on 'Making Money.'
Quantitative tightening is something of a myth: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin explains why markets should not fear deflation on 'Making Money.'
US is not facing any risk of ‘re-surging’ inflation: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin breaks down the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight on ‘Mornings with Maria.’
Capitalism is not greed, it is freedom to innovate: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin reacts to Biden blaming higher food prices on corporate greed on 'Making Money.'
Stocks don’t care what the Fed does: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin discusses whether the Fed has credibility issues on 'Making Money.'
US inflation is a ‘statistical aberration’: Donald Luskin
Trend Macrolytics founder and CIO Donald Luskin argues interest rates are not restrictive on a 'booming' economy and that short-term traders currently have 'viable' market options.
No recession, and deflation would be “reparations” for inflation
The Wall Street Journal's Paul Gigot interviews TrendMacro CEO Donald Luskin on January's bad inflation numbers, the risk of recession and the prospect of deflation.
Chris Farrell: Productivity growth has led to our economic growth
A "fireside chat" with Donald Luskin, founder of TrendMacro, at the recent CFA Society of Minnesota annual dinner reminded me of the importance of paying attention to productivity. (There was no fireplace but a colorful bouquet of flowers instead.) The…
Fed rate cut in March is still in play: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin analyzes the Fed's inflation strategy ahead of the January CPI report on 'Making Money.'
Why 37 Votes = A Hung Electoral College, a Contingent Election and the 7th Party System
The best analysis of this possibility to date is by my old friend Donald Luskin at TrendMacro whose nouse on these matters has always been excellent. On February 8th, his team released a report called How Biden and Trump Can Both Lose. Easily. For months,…
Don’t engage in this Fed-Treasury ‘conspiracy theory’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin analyzes the Fed's relationship with the Treasury Department on 'Making Money.'
Rate cuts are coming soon: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin analyzes the Federal Reserve's moves to regulate the economy on 'Making Money.'
Don Luskin’s Outlook For Markets, The Fed, & The Economy
"No hard landing, no soft landing, no landing at all. We're in a boom. There's no other word for it."
The economy is in a boom ‘on paper,’ but ‘it feels horrible’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin says it is almost ‘certain’ that the Republicans will take the Senate in 2024 on ‘Making Money.
A recession is ‘impossible’ in this environment: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin reflects on his greatest financial hits and misses of the year on 'Making Money.'
Jerome Powell’s Fed has been ‘insanely lucky’: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin predicts the Fed will cut rates faster than they normally would in 2024 because they fear deflation on 'Making Money.'
Fed is still sticking to its big inflation lie: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin pushes back against the Fed's claim that growth causes inflation on 'Making Money.'
Economist predicts ‘deflation is coming,’ which will cause the Fed to ‘scramble’
Ahead of the December meeting, one economist argued the Federal Reserve's "dangerously high" interest rate hikes are transitory, and that the Fed will make cuts in the first quarter of next year. On "Mornings with Maria," Monday, TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin explained…
US economy is in the beginning of a ‘triumphal phase’: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Donald Luskin shares his economic outlook on ‘Mornings with Maria.’
Fed’s inflation job is done, time to cut interest rates: Don Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Don Luskin and Newedge Wealth CIO Cameron Dawson discuss whether the Fed could lower interest rates as soon as the first quarter of 2024 on 'Making Money.'
US economy needs deflation now: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin explains how deflation can help fix the government's inflation problem on 'Making Money.'
Evidence shows more the Fed tightens rates, ‘the more the economy grows’: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Donald Luskin looks ahead to the October consumer price index and its impact on markets.
Fed’s Powell is ‘cherry-picking’ worst part of the inflation picture: Don Luskin
TrendMacro CIO Don Luskin argues the Fed is still 'pretending' the US has an inflation problem even though it's largely been conquered on 'Making Money.'
This will be a great earnings season: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Donald Luskin reacts to oil prices rallying as attacks on Israel could fuel tensions in the Middle East.
Don Luskin: The economy supports the stock market
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin reveals why he is bullish on 'Making Money.'
US fiscal spending on the rise again
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin provides insight on the Federal Reserve's moves on 'Making Money.'
“Inflation isn’t just moderating, it is collapsing,” says TrendMacro CEO Don Luskin
"We’re going to have outright deflation." Luskin sees now as an opportunity to lay out some shorts in anticipation of weakness to come.
What is the health of the US banking system?
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin says a growing economy is 'like a growing boy' on 'Making Money.'
Bank downgrades are ‘just beginning’ if Fed continues to raise rates: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Donald Luskin joins ‘Mornings with Maria’ to discuss the Fed’s potential to continue to raise rates and its impact on bank stocks.
Don Luskin to investors: You don’t have to sell all at once
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin details how investors can tread an unpredictable market on 'Making Money.'
Charles Payne: We saw the wheels of justice this week
FOX Business host Charles Payne and TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin weigh in on the Sam Bankman-Fried saga and term limits for officials on 'Making Money.'
When buyers are done, the bull market is done: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin unpacks disinflation and investing in stocks on 'Making Money.'
The people most unhappy with Biden are the middle class: Liz Peek
Fox News contributor Liz Peek and Trend Macrolytics CIO Donald Luskin discuss former President Donald Trump and President Biden’s South Carolina visits on ‘The Evening Edit.’
Economy needs deflation to undo inflation: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin gives his take on the Federal Reserve's response to rising consumer prices on 'Making Money.'
Supreme Court can check President Biden’s executive orders: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Donald L. Luskin weighs in on House Speaker McCarthy's debt deal with President Biden on 'The Evening Edit.'
There will be no Federal Reserve rate hikes in June or July: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Donald Luskin provides insight on the Fed's response to inflation on 'Mornings with Maria.'
The debt ceiling bill is not what it is claiming to be: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin gives his take on the debt bill on 'Making Money.'
Has the War on Inflation Already Been Won?
The money supply doesn’t tell the whole story.
The US money supply is contracting: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin provides insight on inflation on 'Making Money.'
Markets got the memo that the rate-hiking cycle is over: Don Luskin
TrendMacro Chief Investment Officer Don Luskin provides insight on the debt ceiling debate and the Fed's policies on 'Making Money.'
Why is wage growth slowing?
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin gives his take on businesses throwing in the towel on 'Making Money.'
Don Luskin to investors: Now is the time to buy the wreckage
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin reacts to the arraignment of President Trump and provides investing advice on 'Making Money.'
Powell keeps redefining what worries him about inflation: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin calls out Fed Chair Powell's leadership on 'Making Money.'
Money Supply and Inflation
Inflation has everyone’s attention. In this podcast, economist and financial analyst Don Luskin explains to IPI’s Merrill Matthews why the rapid increase in the money supply caused the inflation. And the declining money supply means inflation is on its way…
Don Luskin on the stock market: ‘US is nowhere near a recession’
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin reacts to inaccurate data surveys that erode public trust in the market on 'Making Money.'
Inflation Proves Stubborn in January
…the sharp decline in the money supply that began last year will lead to rapid disinflation in the coming months and perhaps a recession. Wall Street forecaster Ed Hyman of Evercore ISI and Don Luskin of Trend Macro are anticipating similar inflation declines and…
Don Luskin: US turning a blind eye to the network of Chinese spying
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin reacts to President Biden's response to the Chinese spy balloon on 'Making Money.'
Don Luskin: Fed thinks inflation is the result of too much demand
TrendMacro chief investment officer gives his take on the Federal Reserve's response to record-high inflation on 'Making Money.'
Donald Luskin: The New York Times doesn’t want to vilify Sam Bankman-Fried
TrendMacro chief investment officer reacts to the FTX scandal and reveals the recipe for a good life on 'Making Money.'
Gambling Is Not the Future
Regarding Donald Luskin’s op-ed “The Feds Don’t Want You Betting on Elections” (Nov. 2): Listed futures contracts must serve some commercial purpose, such as hedging grain or currencies. A futures contract for $2 on Backfire in the third race at…
Banning election betting ‘not going to be good’ for markets: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Donald Luskin argues the impact of shutting down election betting silences 'free speech about politics.'
The more pessimistic investors are, the more bullish you have to be: Don Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Don Luskin provides insight on the United States' GDP on 'Making Money.'
PayPal’s policy is taking cancel culture to a whole new level: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Donald Luskin reacts to PayPal fining users $2,500 for sharing misinformation on 'Making Money.'
Result of Poor Municipal Leadership
Mr. Luskin founded a company, Trend Macrolytics, after a long and distinguished career in the investment sector of the economy… Three years ago, Mr. Luskin relocated his business to Dallas from Chicago… As Luskin says you can see it in their eyes.…
It is a privilege to work: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer shreds President Joe Biden's comments on record-high inflation and weighs in on government programs on 'Making Money with Charles Payne.'
High power costs are a result of these sacrifices: Donald Luskin
TrendMacro chief investment officer Donald Luskin provides insight on energy production on 'Making Money.'
Tom Giovanetti filling in for Mark Davis with Don Luskin joining in
Is inflation rolling over? What caused it? How long will it take to get back to normal?
Is Inflation Going Away? with Don Luskin
Don Luskin, Chief Investment Officer of TrendMacro, explains why inflation is already in decline and is going to recede faster than most have expected. With IPI Resident Scholar Dr. Merrill Matthews and IPI President Tom Giovanetti.